International students are back in Japan, but not at the numbers they had been.

So reported the Japan Times last week.

As has been the pattern lately, Temple University Japan Campus manages to get itself in there for a few factoids. One that I found interesting:

I don’t remember the U.S. State department “forcing” any Americans to leave Japan. It may have been that the warnings issued by State caused a lot of people to leave, and therefore the campus shut down. But Temple is going to spin it in a way that anything even tangentially concerning March 11 puts any decision they make out of their control.

The squib all remarks, if you do the math, that only 23 Temple students are expected in Japan for the Fall semester. Given that we know the ability of the school to attract Japanese students is considerably weak–and had been before the March 11 events–what exactly does the school purport to do to justify itself in this situation?

Well, an analysis was done of the effect on enrollment from major disasters around the world. I guess they got enough credible instances where this could be done. What was found was that after 12 to 18 months, everything went back to “normal”. Remember, normal for Temple Japan is something that still has a lot of question marks over it because of the unexplained accounting. Excuse the analogy, but normal is its own shaky thing.

What happens if the school doesn’t get back to normal? Well, there probably is no plan for that. What the school really doesn’t want is anybody asking any questions, and so 12-to-18 months is a good enough time to get people to stop asking questions. They won’t be telling you, “come back in 18 months, and ask us whether it’s feasible to continue to have a Japan operations that is being subsidized through an accounting trick concerning how a nonprofit reports obligations of lease payments.” That’s for sure.

(P.S., for the flyjin counters, how many flyjin do we count out of this story?)